Headline:
Flood Warning issued September 26 at 12:35PM EDT until September 30 at 6:42PM EDT by NWS Greenville-Spartanburg SC
Event:
Flood Warning
Urgency:
Immediate
Effective:
September 26, 2024 - 9:35am
Expires:
September 26, 2024 - 9:45pm
Description:
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Transylvania and
Henderson Counties.
French Broad River Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson
Counties.
.The first round of heavy rainfall is underway across the French
Broad River and Swannanoa River valleys and resulted in a quick 5-8"
along the entire reach of the French Broad and Swannanoa rivers
Wednesday evening. This resulted in a quick and significant rise of
these rivers above flood stage. With this initial response, the
rivers are now going to be very sensitive to new rounds of heavy
rainfall, which are expected to return to the region overnight
tonight into Thursday morning. Both rivers will continue to rise
quickly in response to any new areas of persistent heavy rainfall
that develops.
The current round of heavy rainfall, resulting from tropical
moisture interacting with a stationary front, will persist through
Thursday morning, while the second round of heavy rainfall is
expected to begin Thursday night and last through Friday morning
associated with Hurricane Helene. Considerable to catastrophic
Moderate to Major flooding across much of the French Broad River and
Swannanoa River valleys is expected as a result of extremely rare
rainfall. This flooding will exceed the Major, catastrophic
flooding observed in September 2004 from Hurricanes Frances and Ivan
and has the potential to exceed the 1916 floods, especially from the
French Broad River headwaters near Rosman and Blantyre to Asheville.
This flooding will shutdown numerous roadways. Several roadways
will experience strong and damaging streamflows, likely causing
damage to roadway infrastructure including culverts and bridges.
Primary roadways that do not typically flood will likely flood,
resulting in very significant impacts to travel. Travel may become
very difficult and dangerous. Numerous structures, including homes
and businesses, are likely to be inundated as a result of Major
flooding. Many structures may become uninhabitable and some
structures may become completely destroyed due to ruinous flooding.
There is a potential for crests to exceed the current forecast
crests. Confidence in significant rainfall is very high, but small
reductions or increases in storm-total rainfall may result in
notable changes to the forecast crests. It is absolutely imperative
that you maintain awareness of the latest forecasts and plan NOW to
respond to the worst-case scenario for your area.
* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
This approaches the flood of record.
* WHERE...French Broad River near Fletcher.
* WHEN...Until Monday evening.
* IMPACTS...At 20.1 feet, Record Flood Stage. Floodwaters are
approaching levels similar to those levels observed in during
Hurricane Frances in early September, 2004.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
- At 12:15 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 15.4 feet.
- Action/Advisory Stage is 10.0 feet.
- Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
ending at 12:15 PM EDT Thursday was 15.4 feet.
- Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.6
feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
Monday morning.
- Minor Flood Stage is 13.0 feet.
Moderate Flood Stage is 17.0 feet.
Major Flood Stage is 20.0 feet.
- Flood History...This crest exceeds a previous crest of 20.1
feet on 09/08/2004 from Hurricane Frances. Unprecedented
flooding is expected.
- Http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood
Instruction:
Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.
To escape rising water, take the shortest path to higher ground.
This warning will be in effect until the river falls below its flood
stage.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found
at www.weather.gov/gsp.
For detailed information including observed and forecast stages,
flood impacts, flood history, FEMA Flood Hazard Layers, and more,
please visit: https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/GSP
The next statement will be issued this evening.late tonight at 1245
AM EDT.
Area Description:
Buncombe, NC; Henderson, NC
Forcast Office:
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg SC